Fiscal period ending 2025-12-31 versus 2024-12-31
— view filing on EDGAR →
Goldman Sachs's risk profile deteriorated across five distinct themes, with no meaningful offsets. The most acute shifts are a 50% expansion in two-notch downgrade exposure ($1.80B) and a broadening of cyber/AI risk from hypothetical to realized — including a named cloud outage and confirmed reliance on third-party AI models under the OneGS 3.0 buildout. Two new acquisitions and escalated climate language add further execution and regulatory overhang.
4 company-specific
· 1 common-mode
Company-specific changes
Revised
Two-notch downgrade exposure increased 50% ($1.20B to $1.80B). One-notch exposure decreased but two-notch risk materially worsened, indicating deteriorated credit position.
Reductions in our credit ratings or an increase in our credit spreads may adversely affect our liquidity and cost of funding. Our credit ratings are important to our liquidity. A reduction in our…
Revised
New disclosure of October 2025 cloud outage affecting Goldman Sachs directly; prior year only cited generic examples. Demonstrates realized operational risk.
Operational A failure in our or third-party operational systems or human error, malfeasance or other misconduct, could impair our liquidity, disrupt our businesses, result in the disclosure of…
Revised
Company escalated AI risk by explicitly linking it to OneGS 3.0 initiative expansion and heightened risks. Changed "may rely" to "rely" on third-party models, signaling actual dependence. Shifted fraud/cyberattack impact from "financial institution or exchange" to "us and our clients," broadening exposure.
The development and use of AI present risks and challenges that may adversely impact our business. We or our third-party vendors, clients or counterparties have in the past developed or incorporated…
Revised
Company disclosed two new material acquisitions (Industry Ventures, Innovator Capital Management) and expanded risk language to include joint ventures, escalating M&A execution risk.
We may not be able to fully realize the expected benefits or synergies from acquisitions, joint ventures or other business initiatives in the time frames we expect, or at all. We have engaged in…
Also disclosed — common-mode (ESG regulatory divergence)
ESG regulatory divergence
Revised
Climate risk language escalated from general disruption to explicit "physical and transition risks" plus new regulatory/stakeholder conflict exposure.
Market Developments and General Business Environment • Our businesses, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations have been and may in the future be adversely affected by unforeseen…